And now for something completely different. Been sitting on this thought for a while. Preface that this is speculation, and I’m not claiming to sell hopium. I don’t know what POTUS is going to do with the debt crisis or how to jumpstart the economy after the Wuhan flu bs. But, I offer this analysis for consideration.
If POTUS were to announce a debt reset/forgiveness campaign, there would be obvious benefits. Exs. Young people burdened with student loan debt that’s preventing them from getting ahead would be immediately relieved so that they’re meager earnings from starting jobs would go to them instead, causing an increase in wealth. Same could be said for those who pay mortgages. High credit card debt relief would also put more money into the pockets of everyone. It would be a great boon to POTUS’ support as more people on the fence would probably rethink their attitudes towards him, as we saw in portions of the black community after the first round of stimulus checks was sent a couple months back.
Several problems arise from this strategy, though. One, it’s not equitable. Not everyone has student loans, mortgages, or uses their credit card like a drunken sailor in a Thai liberty port. Also, not everyone has the same debt amounts, with many people having spent months/years paying down or paying off their debt like responsible people. The optics of those who never paid or took responsibility for their debt getting relieved at a greater amount than those who have taken responsibility and paid could be mixed for POTUS. It also doesn’t solve the problem of people not getting into debt again with high interest rates that would only lead people right back to where we are. Lastly, just because the debt magically vanishes, doesn’t mean people will suddenly have money to spend. With the majority of Americans not even having three months’ worth of savings in the bank, the lack of liquid capital is only going to drive people back to racking up debt if you push them to go out and spend to jumpstart the economy.
So as I see it, debt reset/forgiveness is a one shot event that will provide immediate, tangible relief, but doesn’t address the long term issues of usurious interest rates and appropriate use of credit vs saving up for or working to pay for something. It would be like resetting a car’s odometer but leaving the engine with 200,000+ miles on it. It may go on for a few more miles, but the problems associated with the engine didn’t disappear with the reset.
Continued in part 2 (yes, “So Much Text” fags, I’ve got a lot to say. Bite me.)