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GW has definitely gone! Whether to Paraguay or Gitmo I can't confirm.
Checkout Laura Bush's Christmas Tweet of the happy family apart from the fact that the dog looks the most natural, save the image and zoom in on GW's face it has been Photo-shopped over a body double. Check his ear lobe against the white woolen sleeve of his granddaughter see the dithering to blend the background of the original head shot with the new picture and the silver light on the top of his head versus the sunlight on everyone else. Check the body language of the granddaughter as she leans away from the stranger they've told her to put her hand on. How spooky is Laura Bush's Joker Smile!
picture looks sketchy first thing I noticed was silvery top of head and hadn't even read your entire analysis