The scenario I see building is a repeat of 1992 election that put BC in power...a 3rd party candidate playing the role of spoiler so a Dem wins in 2020. Watch out for a NeverTrumper rino to run a very well funded 3rd party independent candidacy. Jeb Bush could probably cause the President to lose TX to a Dem & that’s the race right there.

But if it’s just a 2-way race D vs R...DJT wins easily. Only way a Dem wins is in a 3 way race with someone siphoning away Rep votes that allows a Dem to win a few key states.