>>8732
>>8730
>>How can move forward as safely as possible for people
>did not realize adjusting filibuster was a safety hazard?
Key Potential Hazards and Arguments Against the ChangeIncreased Policy Volatility and Instability
Legislation could pass with narrow majorities (potentially just 51 votes, including the vice president's tiebreaker). Laws would then be more easily repealed or dramatically altered when the majority flips in future Congresses. This creates a "pendulum" effect where major policies (e.g., healthcare, taxes, gun laws, climate regulations, or social programs) swing wildly between administrations, undermining long-term stability, predictability for businesses/economy, and public trust in government.
Loss of Minority Party Protections and Incentives for Compromise
The 60-vote threshold forces the majority to negotiate with at least some members of the minority party to build a broader coalition. Dropping to 51 votes removes this pressure, allowing the majority party to pass highly partisan legislation without input from the other side. This could lead to more extreme laws, reduced bipartisanship, and greater polarization.
Risk of "Tyranny of the Majority"
Critics argue the Senate was deliberately designed (unlike the House) to slow down action, protect smaller states, and prevent hasty majorities from steamrolling minorities or regions. A simple-majority threshold shifts the Senate closer to the House's model, potentially eroding the chamber's unique "cooling saucer" role (as described by George Washington) and making it easier for temporary majorities to enact sweeping changes with minimal consensus.
Long-Term Institutional Damage and Retaliation Cycles
Once the filibuster is lowered or eliminated for legislation via the nuclear option, future majorities could further weaken Senate rules or traditions. Historical precedents (e.g., 2013 and 2017 changes lowering cloture to 51 for most judicial/executive nominees) show that precedents build: what starts limited often expands. This could erode the Senate's deliberative nature over time.
Potential for Abuse During Unified Government
When one party controls the presidency, House, and Senate (trifecta), a 51-vote threshold enables rapid passage of controversial agendas without broad support. While proponents see this as enabling action on popular priorities, opponents warn it risks overreach, backlash, and backlash-driven reversals.
https://x.com/i/grok/share/36b5c984fe69415899c0fed7217e0986
This could be an issue.