Central Virginia Crop Meteorologist (he's a dick but has a good track record for snowstorms) predicts up to 30" possible in DC METRO AREA.
Wxrisk.com
36 mins ·
SATURDAY EARLY EVENING UPDATE
Please keep in mind that this is a long-duration event. For much of Virginia and Maryland the snow is going to shut off by the evening hours. But the event is NOT over on Sunday night
It is quite possible that every forecast that I made over the past two days turn out to be completely and totally wrong. But if you are going to declare the forecast has busted before the first flake has even Fallen out of the clouds …. I will ban you for life. There is no earthly reason why you can't wait 48 hours to see how the forecast worked out The only reason you're making that comment is because you are professional asshole. Yes you have a constitutional right to be a professional asshole but you can't do it on the wxrisk facebook page.
If you must be an asshole please go to the nearest 7-11 and where I am sure everyone there is dying to hear you latest ideas
At no point have I forecasted heavy snow for Southeast Virginia at any point over the past three days. The fact that you may not know the difference between let's say Harrisonburg and Virginia Beach on a map doesn't mean that I forecasted heavy snow for you location . It just means that you have a serious problems with basic geography and that you should have paid attention in Middle School. That is unfortunate but it's not my problem. It is yours
As I stated in the discussion in the previous post which I hope some of you have read- what has change from 2 days ago to today is that the coastal LOW on Monday stalls further north up the coast. This changes the ability of the second part of the storm on Monday and Monday evening to bring snow further south. That's why I have to reduce the snow amounts in Southwest Virginia and the southern half of the Shenandoah Valley. My job is to get the forecast right and not blow smoke up my own ass. Things change and I am sorry that things change but I really don't have the ability to change the laws of physics . Only Mister Scott the chief engineer of the Starship Enterprise has that ability.
Scotty I need warp power in 10 minutes or we’re all all dead.
Captain I've got to have 30 minutes to restart the warp engines
Scotty we dont have 30 minutes .
Cap’n I canna not change the laws of Physics . I’ve got to have 30 minutes….
The good news is that the short-range models are beginning to show the heavy snow in Pennsylvania and New Jersey on Monday and Monday evening and moderate snow rotating back into DC Northern Virginia and perhaps as far south as Fredericksburg and Richmond and the northern portions of the Shenandoah Valley Monday afternoon and evening. I don't know if this wrap around snow will be 1 inch or 3 or just snow showers.
I continue to be very concerned about heavy snow greater than a foot in the Washington DC and Baltimore Metro areas. The high resolution n short-range and very good Canadian model known as the RGEM as well as other models continue to show 12 to to as much as 30 inches of snow in South Central AND Southeastern Pennsylvania as well as much of New Jersey AND into North Central Maryland very close to Washington and Baltimore. It is quite possible that Hagerstown and Frederick as well as Columbia Sykesville and housing could end up with 8 inches or more of snow when compared to Baltimore or Washington DC.
With that much snow … being that close to these important Metro areas I am very nervous about any forecasts which has snow amounts under 10 in. It would not take much of an adjustment to drop 18 or 24 inches of snow area into these Metro regions as well as Martinsburg Leesburg and Winchester.
More later
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