Good.
Amateurs think strategy, generals think logistics … Or why Ukraine is doomed
If we try to answer the Question: is Ukraine going to win this war? We can obtain some Answers from a purely scientific Mathematical Perspective.
War is won or lost based on:
P1.- Logistics
P2.- Will to Fight (3)
From P1.- we can observe that in the Ukraine:
Supplies:
Much of it destroyed, depleted, or captured. What is left is being used and suffering attrition. No possibilities of quick resupply by local production or by imports due to b) c) d) e)
Airports:
All-important military and Civil Airports neutralized or destroyed.
Ports:
All important Civilian and Military Ports and Transit Hubs neutralized or destroyed
Roads:
All Roads east of the Line Koroshen-Zythomir-Vinitsa-Yampil neutralized or under fire control of artillery and VVS. All Roads west of this line are at least under fire control of VVS, and/or standoff weaponry.
Railroads:
All lines west of the Line Koroshen-Zythomir-Vinitsa-Yampil cut in one or more points, neutralized or under fire control of artillery and VVS. All lines west of this line are at least under fire control of VVS and/or standoff weaponry.
From P2.- we can observe that in the Ukraine, once supplies are depleted, Ukrainian Forces can:
Fight with sticks and stones and die (immediately)
They can run and die (a little bit later)
They can hide and die (somewhat later)
Fly the country abroad and live(4) (with resentment and fear, because you never know when a Spetsnaz team can pay a visit at home)
Surrender and live a normal life (if they are not guilty of war crimes and such)
https://thesaker.is/amateurs-think-strategy-generals-think-logistics-or-why-ukraine-is-doomed/