Opinion
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I have no more than a passing interest in the UK royals.
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I think it is increasingly likely they got a hot dose of the vaxx rather than the saline solution they thought they were getting. That is why things had to wait for queen lizzy to croak.
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If Kate were dead it would have been announced she had died in some "freak" accident. Probably from surgical complications. Her absence is drawing too much attention. If she was alive but incapable of making a public appearance they would just kill her. So I think it more likely she is on the run. They can't say she is dead in case she pops her head up, and they can't dispose of her because she isn't in their control.