Trump leads in New Hampshire - a state Republicans haven't won in 24 years

28 Oct 2024 By Katelyn Caralle,

Donald Trump has the momentum over Kamala Harris in the polls with eight days until what is shaping up to be one of the closest elections in history.

The former president took the lead in the Real Clear Politics polling average on Monday morning for the first time, with a razor-thin 0.1 percent advantage.

Meanwhile the New York Times' polling average gives Harris her 'smallest lead' since the summer with just one percent after a string of national polls showed her support slipping.

On Sunday night, the Republican nominee welcomed 20,000 adoring MAGA fans to a packed Madison Square Garden for a historic rally that featured a range of speakers from Elon Musk and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to Hulk Hogan and Dr. Phil.

Comedian and podcaster Tony Hinchcliffe sparked fury by calling Puerto Rico a 'floating island of garbage' and led to Republicans and the Trump campaign distancing themselves.

The campaign returns to the swing states on Monday, with Trump in Georgia and Harris and Michigan and Wisconsin.

The running mates J.D. Vance and Tim Walz are also going to battle in The Badger State, which is now deemed by betting markets to finish the closest among the seven battlegrounds.

New Hampshire is not a state that Donald Trump or Kamala Harris are actively courting as its considered a deeply blue state that likely won’t flip for the former president.

But new polling this week reveals that the New England state might be leaning more red than in previous years.

Although a tiny advantage, Trump is ahead of Harris in New Hampshire by 0.4 of a point – 50.2 percent to 49.8 percent – well within the New Hampshire Journal poll’s margin of error.

With less than 1 million voters in the 2016 election, New Hampshire voted by only a 0.3 percent margin for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. Then in 2020, the blue-leaning margin widened with the state going 7.34 percent for Joe Biden over Trump.

The difference between the years was that approximately 80,000 more people voted in New Hampshire from 2016 to 2020 – and around 60,000 of that new votership went for the Democratic candidate.

New Hampshire, which only holds four Electoral College votes, has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since the 2000 election.

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