Knives out: Is a coup brewing in Kiev?(oh I hope so)
Is Ukraine’s power shifting behind the scenes?1/2
Published 27 Apr, 2026 19:05
By Vitaly Ryumshin, journalist and political analyst
Almost six months have passed since ‘Mindichgate’ erupted in Ukraine.The corruption scandal, which allegedly implicated large parts of the ruling elite. , became the most seriouspolitical test of Vladimir Zelensky’s presidencyand, for a time, threatened to bring it to an abrupt end.
To stabilize his position, Zelensky was forced into concessions. His long-time ally Andrey Yermak was removed,and in his place came Kirill Budanov, head of Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate(GUR), a figurewidely seen as a moderate critic of the president. The cabinet was also reshuffled, with new figures brought in to broaden the coalition.
In return, anti-corruption bodiessuch as NABU and SAPO eased their pressure on the president.
The immediate crisis has subsided. But thestructure of power in Ukraine has shifted significantly. The clearest sign of this transformation is the rise of Budanov.
Initially, the new head of the presidential officekept a low public profile. Over time,however, he has grown more confident, and more visible. Throughout April, Budanov appeared to walk acareful linein his public statements, often striking a tone at odds with Zelensky himself.
While the president has prepared the country for a prolonged conflict,Budanov has spoken of ongoing negotiations and suggested that peace may not be as distant as many assume. When Zelensky highlighted Ukraine’s technological breakthroughs,Budanov has downplayed them. He has also openly acknowledged the growing difficulties of mobilization,a rare admissionfrom a senior official in a country at war.
At the same time, Budanov has been carefully constructing his public image. In Western media,he is presented as both a war hero and a pragmatic “dove,” a man who understands the need to bring the conflict to an end. For domestic audiences, his team promotes stories of personal bravery, portraying him as a hands-on commander who has taken part in operations and narrowly escaped danger.
The result is a carefully balanced political persona, and one that increasingly resembles that of a future president.
Budanov’s ambitions are hardly a secret in Kiev. His approval ratings reportedly rival those of Valeriy Zaluzhny, once seen as Zelensky’s most serious potential rival. Unlike Zaluzhny,however, Budanov remains firmly embedded within the system. He is said to have cultivated connections abroad, including with figures in Donald Trump’s political orbit, while at home he enjoys support among influential members of the ruling Servant of the People party.
For Zelensky, bringing Budanov into the inner circle may have seemed a logical move. Where Zaluzhny was sidelined and sent abroad, Budanov was co-opted in an application of the old principle: keep your friends close, and your enemies closer. In theory, this should allow the president to monitor potential dissent within the elite.
In practice, it has created a new risk. By elevating Budanov to the centre of power, Zelensky has given him both visibility and institutional leverage.The head of the presidential office is no longer a background figure. but a key political actor, one capable of shaping narratives and, potentially, alliances.
The fault line may emerge over the question of negotiations with Russia. As the conflict drags on and the situation at the front becomes more difficult,a growing segment of the Ukrainian elite appears to favor some form of compromise. . This sentiment increasingly clashes with Zelensky’s public stance.
https://www.rt.com/russia/639184-knives-out-kiev-coup/