US Market report
Futures, Bond Yields Drop*-but not from last night-As Traders Brace For Trade Talks Collapse
*edit-alway's the doom and gloom headline with you guy's. How about letting us get to Thursday when the meetings actually begin…
() and bold/red-additions
6 months of "trade talk optimism" is being unwound in hours before our eyes.
(thank you Munchkins-this all your fault BTW)
World shares dropped to five-week lows on Wednesday as S&P futures and European stocks continued their slide following steep declines in Asia, as markets started to accept that a deal with China now appears impossible, at least in the short term. Bond yields slumped, the dollar jumped, the safe haven yen surged to a six-week high against the dollar, the pound slipped as Brexit breakthrough hopes faded, the Kiwi tumbled after New Zealand unexpectedly cut interest rates overnight, while Chinese stocks dropped after China reported an unexpected contraction in exports.
(keep watching the yield curve- cap #3-that is the canary)
(also oil as early action suggests that whatever the drop is at the bell it may not be much)
Since this is highly manipulated please take this as observation's prior to actual action-don't have a crystal ball.
European stocks pared early gains, with the Stoxx 600 trading as low as -0.4% and down for 5 of the past 6 days, as China reiterated its position on trade negotiations ahead of potential U.S. imposition of additional tariffs on Friday. Risk sentiment deteriorated after Reuters cited sources saying China backtracked on nearly all aspects of U.S. trade deal last week even as it added that "U.S. officials have little hope that Liu will come bearing any offer that can get talks back on track, said two of the sources."
Earlier in the session, Asian stocks fell for a third day, with MSCI’s Asia-Pacific share index excluding Japan falling almost one percent to touch its lowest level since late-March, driven by healthcare and consumer staples firms. Almost all markets in the region were down, with Japan and China leading losses. The Nikkei dropped -1.5% and the Topix closed 1.7% lower, with Hoya Corp. and Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. among the biggest drags. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 1.1%, as large banks and insurers drove declines.
US event calendar
7am: MBA Mortgage Applications, prior
-4.3%
Markets seem dull relative to the above but the reality is that there’s a lot going. The last 24 hours has seen a bit of a delayed reaction to Trump’s China tariff tweet from Sunday as markets decided to take the glass half empty view as opposed to Monday’s more half full take.
(all the reactions are nothing moar than the system throwing a hissy over POTUS kicking China in the balls as munchkins, again, hasn't done shit-the system own's itself through massive share buyback programs so as mentioned over the lat few day's they may drag this out for a few day's or even into next week)
They may even sacrifice a few of the lower tier institution's along the way to keep the whole thing appearing to function.
To be fair there wasn’t a lot of new news to report yesterday besides the ongoing trade-related rumbles.
As of right now, China’s top trade negotiator Liu He is still due to travel to Washington tomorrow to meet with Lighthizer and Mnuchin. The suggestion is though that China is planning retaliatory tariffs immediately after the US increases theirs. This makes tomorrow and Friday’s meetings of critical importance and ultimately will dictate whether the threat is real or just hard ball negotiating tactics. Chinese state media has intensified its rhetoric, saying that “we will not take any step (that is) unfavorable to us.
(like you have not had favor for 50+ year's-KYS)
To the day ahead now, where this morning we’ll get March industrial production data out of Germany and April house price data in the UK. There is nothing of note in the US this afternoon however the Fed’s Brainard is due to speak just after lunch. Prior to that we’re due to hear from the ECB’s Draghi in Frankfurt at a student’s event, while the BoE’s Ramsden speaks this morning. South Africa’s national and provincial legislative elections are also due today, while US Secretary of State Pompeo is due to travel to London and meet with PM May.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-05-08/futures-bond-yields-tumble-traders-brace-trade-talks-collapse
https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/stocks/futures
https://www.dailyfx.com/crude-oil
https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmubmusd10y?countrycode=bx