Would You Support a Debt Jubilee?
Money Buffalo
POSTED BY: JOSH OCTOBER 7, 2017
What Does a Debt Jubilee Look Like Today?
Our financial system is much different than ancient Isreal and we need a different approach as the “average Joe” can invest in P2P loans and we live in an easy credit society. The middle class didn’t exist in their society as we know it today.
If Wall Street begins forgiving debts, it’d be safe to assume there would be a strong negative impact on the market in the short term and long term. Investors are going to sell because they fear the companies migth go bankrupt. Uncertainty is one thing markets don’t like.
And if a government-mandated debt jubilee gets enforced, how do they decide who has their debts forgiven?:
Borrowers with a high debt-to-income ratio
Residents of particular states or territories
Taxpayers who live below the poverty line
Specific types of debt (i.e. Puerto Rican government debt, auto loans, student loans, etc.)
It could be all four of these groups, a combination, or only one.
Those are all decisions that the policy wonks, politicians, and lobbyists would have to make. While there would be some short term stock market volatility, I believe the markets would rebound.
Of course, the debt forgiveness would rapidly expand the government debt.
Different Debt Jubilee Options
We don’t know how a debt jubilee will look like because we’re not there yet. There are too many variables.
However, we do have an idea of what arrows are in the central banks’ quivers:
Call a bank holiday and take 25% of 401k assets
Print more money…a la quantitative easing
Mandatory debt forgiveness (unpaid loans and bonds are written off with no further payment required)
Once again, the powers that be can decide to pursue one, two, or all three of these options. Obviously, savers and the wealthy would be punished the most as their bank account are smaller, worth less if the currency devalues, or the stock market tumbles because investors lose confidence because they don’t know if more assets will be seized or lending companies can remain solvent now that they are receiving far fewer interest payments.
There will be lots of short term financial volatility in the investment markets and even the employment sector as business models change and private citizens adjust to new amount of disposable income.