Anonymous ID: 211fe4 March 1, 2020, 7:56 a.m. No.8291860   🗄️.is 🔗kun

>>8291666

>PDF (page 55).

It's a theoretical study for modeling & analysis of pandemic spread of an imaginary virus (slightly modified SARS variant, "modi-SARS").

It's from 2012, and looks at certain parameters (nr of deaths, infected, reliability of electricity, communications, banking, health and other services under such circumstances) as to be expected in Germany.

Text can be selected/copied, so it shouldn't be too hard to use e.g. translate.google.com.

Modeling results (with the assumptions made in the study) indicate 3 waves within 3 yrs until a vaccine is found.

About 7.5 mln dead (10% mortality rate assumed) with about 2/3 of all infected needing hospital care/intensive care.

 

As said, it's a numerical/theoretical study so nothing that would specifically pertain to the current covid-19, and was probably conducted to have a general clue about such kind of scenarios, and about which problems may arise on which sectors of society (e.g. community waste disposal).