>>9161693

For fans of double meanings

SHADOW has the obvious meaning of a secret group hiding in the shadows that has infiltrated something (Whitehouse/Government) and secretly maintains control of that something.

Before Q arrived on the scene the Trump administration was fighting a counterintelligence war to wrest control away from these tools of the SHADOW GOVERNMENT

But then there is the deeper meaning.

Aleister Crowley's Occult religious group called Thelema

Had been infiltrating every organization on the planet with any power

Thelema is a religion that deals in the DARK SIDE OF THE FORCE

They consider themselves LORDS OF THE SHADOW

More powerful than God

This is the part that many will choose NOT TO KNOW

Because horrendous sins were committed by these people

And without a strong personal connection to God

Just knowing the details could destroy you.

So be careful

Because the movie has a fine drama

And a resoundingly joyful ending

Even if you only watch the surface story of Treason.

Imperial College COVID Model

“So the real scandal is: Why did anyone ever listen to this guy?”

https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/05/08/so-the-real-scandal-is-why-did-anyone-ever-listen-to-this-guy/

I don’t know. It’s a good question. When Ferguson was in the news a few months ago, why wasn’t there more discussion of his atrocious track record? Or was his track record not so bad? A google search turned up this op-ed by Bob Ward referring to Ferguson’s conclusions as “evidence that Britain’s political-media complex finds too difficult to accept.” Regarding the foot-and-mouth-disease thing, Ward writes, “Ferguson received an OBE in recognition for his important role in the crisis, or that he was afterwards elected a fellow of the prestigious Academy of Medical Sciences.” Those sorts of awards don’t cut much ice with me—they remind me too much of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences—but maybe there’s more of the story I haven’t heard.

I guess I’d have to see the exact quotes that are being referred to in the paragraphs excerpted above. For example, what did Ferguson exactly say when he “predicted that up to 150,000 people could die” of foot-and-mouth disease. Did he say, “I expect it will be under 200 deaths if we cull the herds, but otherwise it could be up to 2000 or more, and worst case it could even be as high as 150,000?” Or did he flat out say, “150,000, baby! Buy your gravestone now while supplies last.”? I wanna see the quotes.

But, if Ferguson really did have a series of previous errors, then, yeah, Why did anyone ever listen to this guy?

In the above-linked article, Fund seems to be asking the question rhetorically.

But it’s a good question, so let’s try to answer it. Here are a few possibilities:

A senior software engineer critiques the Imperial College COVID model

Do read the comments. Many professionals weighed in on the topic

Code Review of Ferguson’s Model

Imperial finally released a derivative of Ferguson’s code. I figured I’d do a review of it and send you some of the things I noticed. I don’t know your background so apologies if some of this is pitched at the wrong level.

My background. I have been writing software for 30 years. I worked at Google between 2006 and 2014, where I was a senior software engineer working on Maps, Gmail and account security. I spent the last five years at a US/UK firm where I designed the company’s database product, amongst other jobs and projects. I was also an independent consultant for a couple of years. Obviously I’m giving only my own professional opinion and not speaking for my current employer.

The code. It isn’t the code Ferguson ran to produce his famous Report 9. What’s been released on GitHub is a heavily modified derivative of it, after having been upgraded for over a month by a team from Microsoft and others. This revised codebase is split into multiple files for legibility and written in C++, whereas the original program was “a single 15,000 line file that had been worked on for a decade” (this is considered extremely poor practice). A request for the original code was made 8 days ago but ignored, and it will probably take some kind of legal compulsion to make them release it. Clearly, Imperial are too embarrassed by the state of it ever to release it of their own free will, which is unacceptable given that it was paid for by the taxpayer and belongs to them.

The model. What it’s doing is best described as “SimCity without the graphics”. It attempts to simulate households, schools, offices, people and their movements, etc. I won’t go further into the underlying assumptions, since that’s well explored elsewhere.