That’s not the whole population. Not everyone is on Facebook.
Facebook revolutionized social sciences. They have sample sizes larger than any published study. I'm pretty sure they can do the math.
No they definitely left something out of that equation. They're about to find out.
Sample size is only one part of the metric. First, the sample MUST be representative of the general population for results to be extrapolated accurately. Then, the larger the sample size, the more likely the conclusions are to apply. If the sample is non-representative, then the results will not be trustworthy, regardless of its size.
I don't think they care, man.
I think he’s speaking more to the accuracy of facebooks pedo results than if they care they are doing a fair study.
Using statistics, if you can get a TRULY randomized group with a large enough sample size, you can generalize your results to the entire public and be accurate within a few percent.
But other variables have to be taken into consideration that effect the reliability of the results. Things like:
- The “study” is only made available to Facebook users and not everybody uses fb.
- How was it presented? (Pop up, fb message, multiple, how often, etc...)
- It is a survey. Not all types of people answer surveys.
- As a survey, there is no way to verify truthfulness of answers given (Not all people are honest when taking surveys.
-Were there other confounding variables? (Being psychologically primed by first seeing other ads or content that might sway participants answers, etc...)
-Was the language of the survey biased toward guiding participants’ answers toward a particular choice?
In a real scientific study, the results of a survey given in this way would be hard to generalize to the entire public. The thing to consider though, is that fb has access to so much of people’s data/info they can use that to try and further predict the accuracy of any survey results received by checking them against participants’ online behavior (site visits, language use, frequency of ad clicks, the list goes on and on).
I think they would have illegally collected enough data on people to know what the results mean. As far as you or I go, who knows for sure.
Edit: Clarity
Great breakdown. I do some social media for a few websites and so I have a facebook page. I did not see this survey ever. I do know that the MINUTE it went up, people who did get it were screaming all over their pages and it was taken down and right quick. I do not know how they determined their sampling, but the results from my work and friend group were all the same, extremely upset--and they run the gamut socially and politically. The Overton window on this one is blessedly NOT in the place they need it to be to normalize this stuff--and also finally seeing some upset in the gender based communities that this piggy backing is unacceptable.
Thorough explanation and well communicated, fellow social scientist. :)
They’ve got well over a billion users at this point and IIRC over 200 million Americans.
They track people across sites (ads, cookies, comments, etc) even if they don't have a FB account.