PlaneFag Yerp/Med Activity:
Potato leaves Warsaw soon so you've got the various ISR (Intellignece, Surveillance, Recon) and AEW&C (Airborne Early Warnig & Control ACs) up:
REDEYE6 E-8C Joint STARS tracking north of Warsaw prior to Potatos departure, Italian AF PERSEO71 G550 AEW&C and some traffic in and out of Rzsesow Airport in southern Poland: RAF RRR4134 A400m on ground from RAF Brize Norton and landed about 20m ago, Belgian AF BAF663 A400m departed from same and on ground at Jonava Air Base-Rukla Lithuania (sorry lost both of those on screen) and French AF CTM0015 (high level) Falcon 2000 on ground at Rzsesow from Villacoublay-French Air Cmd Cap#2…JAKE11 RC-135 Rivet Joint finished up it's trackin' over eastern Romania and NW
Dutch AF NAF11 G4 WS from Malbork AB Poland after 5h stop and back to Amsterdam and German AF GAF686 Global Explorer heading NW out of Koln/Bonn (Luftwaffe home base) and RCH6369 C-17 Globemaster departed Amari AB SW of Tallinn, Estonia after a ground stop of about 4h
Swedish AF SVF669 G4 departed Ankara-Turkey still not voting yes for Swedens membership into NATO (and Blinken was there 2 days ago as well-so werking overtime on this)
RAF RFR7140 Beech Shadow B350 (the RAF's version on the fluying antenna farm) departed southern Jordan and back to Akrotiri AB-Cyprus and RCH577 C-17 Globemaster departed Adana, Turkey west and Brazilian AF BRS51 Embraer 390 departed Dhabi west after arriving from Tashkent Uzbekistan yesterday…also have QID26 KC-135 tanker in the Adriatic and tracking on the refueling loop and probably some F-16s from Aviano out with it
MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased Sharply, Lowest Since 1995
Mortgage applications decreased 13.3 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending February 17, 2023. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 13.3 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 2 percent from the previous week and was 72 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 18 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 4 percent compared with the previous week and was 41 percent lower than the same week one year ago.
“Mortgage rates increased across all loan types last week, with the 30-year fixed rate jumping 23 basis points to 6.62 percent – the highest rate since November 2022. The jump led to the purchase applications index decreasing 18 percent to its lowest level since 1995,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “This time of the year is typically when purchase activity ramps up, but over the past two weeks, rates have increased significantly as financial markets digest data on inflation cooling at a slower pace than expected. The increase in mortgages rates has put many homebuyers back on the sidelines once again, especially first-time homebuyers who are most sensitive to affordability challenges and the impact of higher rates.”
Added Kan, “Refinance applications declined last week and remained more than 70 percent behind last year’s pace. Given that rates are over 2.5 percentage points higher than a year ago, we expect that refinance activity will remain depressed for some time.” With higher mortgage rates, the refinance index declined sharply in 2022.
Other than the lows in Q4 of 2022 and early this year, the refinance index was at the lowest level since the year 2000..(and it was sitting on that for the last few months and finally dropped below it with this report) According to the MBA, purchase activity is down 41% year-over-year unadjusted. The purchase index is 19% below the pandemic low and at the lowest level since 1995.'
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2023/02/mba-mortgage-purchase-applications.html
30y fixed mortgages back up to almost 7% nao (6.87%avg)- with Fannie and Freddie following-cap #3
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mortgage-rates/30-year-fixed
N757AF 757 departed Palm Beach Int'l for visit to E Palestine, Ohio
>>18384417, >>18394129 pb
SAM28 747 departed Warsaw-Chopin Int'l for JBA and this is under the same call sign that it departed from JBA on Monday-so Potatois not on the 747
Potato is still using used tail #99-0003 (red dot) and is on ground as 'empty callsign'-used this early Sunday morning -the one used for his 3 hour stop at Rzsesow on Monday) >>18388756 pb and this all gonfirmed with the footage showing the tail #99-0003 upon his arrival in Warsaw Cap#3
Bermuda AF SN16XP AS85 up from Chopin Int'l…that quite odd…but it's been up from there before looking back on it's history
French AF CTM0015 Falcon 2000 has left Rzsesow after a short ground stop-moar clean undies for Zelensky and headed to Warsaw but placed on a hold @ 8k ft for Potato's departure
RAF RRR4135 A400m and that Belgian AF A400m (that I lost earlier) and departed Rzsesow has left Jonava Air Base-Rukla Lithuania after it's short stop and REDEYE6 E-8C Joint STARS made a run towards Vlinius and now back , EASY28 US Army Chinook heading SW
Potato will vanish for a few days cuz they've worn him out with this trip and they may make a token trip to Ohio (but that damage already done doing muh Ukraine thang so good luck with that
Switched to AF1 from SAM28 just nao
So Potato is on this
Also as a reminder we are still 'missing' 92-9000-the companion 747 that did some cert flights last year but has yet to be placed back into active service
there were two of those out yesterday and been the odd one for the last week-coupla of those are based at MCAS Miramar
Out of MCAS Beaufort if you follow traces back
N757AF 757 began descent and should be on ground shortly-probably to Youngstown or mebby Pittsburgh
Youngstown it is
trips confirm